Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007831 0.008778 0.009814 0.011035 0.012437 0.014003 0.015891
2025-04-06 0.006119 0.007349 0.008810 0.010685 0.013045 0.015945 0.019815
2025-04-13 0.005169 0.006490 0.008143 0.010387 0.013395 0.017340 0.023000
2025-04-20 0.004598 0.005982 0.007790 0.010361 0.013990 0.019024 0.026713
2025-04-27 0.004287 0.005756 0.007748 0.010704 0.015077 0.021467 0.031825
2025-05-04 0.003920 0.005402 0.007477 0.010668 0.015582 0.023095 0.035924
2025-05-11 0.003644 0.005143 0.007303 0.010735 0.016224 0.024982 0.040704
2025-05-18 0.003362 0.004843 0.007033 0.010614 0.016537 0.026354 0.044803
2025-05-25 0.003179 0.004674 0.006938 0.010748 0.017264 0.028490 0.050596
2025-06-01 0.002971 0.004445 0.006729 0.010668 0.017608 0.029991 0.055435
2025-06-08 0.002724 0.004135 0.006361 0.010282 0.017369 0.030391 0.058151
2025-06-15 0.002579 0.003978 0.006227 0.010281 0.017812 0.032111 0.063867
2025-06-22 0.002524 0.003967 0.006344 0.010751 0.019222 0.035980 0.075181
2025-06-29 0.002331 0.003714 0.006032 0.010420 0.019069 0.036707 0.079617
2025-07-06 0.002164 0.003494 0.005759 0.010131 0.018959 0.037499 0.084363
2025-07-13 0.002055 0.003364 0.005633 0.010106 0.019377 0.039486 0.092518
2025-07-20 0.002007 0.003337 0.005689 0.010438 0.020581 0.043416 0.106702
2025-07-27 0.001912 0.003219 0.005568 0.010403 0.020987 0.045558 0.116545
2025-08-03 0.001838 0.003133 0.005500 0.010469 0.021622 0.048352 0.129011
2025-08-10 0.001747 0.003010 0.005351 0.010351 0.021822 0.050089 0.138744
2025-08-17 0.001691 0.002951 0.005321 0.010481 0.022617 0.053491 0.154743
2025-08-24 0.001617 0.002850 0.005200 0.010403 0.022902 0.055586 0.167037
2025-08-31 0.001515 0.002691 0.004955 0.010029 0.022413 0.055481 0.171657